Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dL associates with carotid plaque initiation, intima-media thickening and stenosis progression in the Suita Study (Eur J Prev Cardiol 2026)

Original title: Lipoprotein(a) and the continuum of carotid atherosclerosis from plaque initiation to luminal stenosis: the Suita Study

Eur J Prev Cardiol · 7 October 2026 · 7

Teramoto M, Kokubo Y, Kato Y, Shinohara S, Khairan P, Nakao YM, Masui J, Teramoto K, Koga M, Kataoka H

This prospective cohort study of 3272 Japanese adults free of cardiovascular disease and carotid plaque at baseline followed participants for a median of 11.5 years to assess the longitudinal association between lipoprotein(a) and carotid atherosclerosis. Compared with Lp(a) < 15 mg/dL, levels ≥ 50 mg/dL were associated with incident carotid plaque (hazard ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.01-1.61), accelerated annual intima-media thickness progression (β 0.014 mm/year, 95% CI 0.003-0.025), and progression to ≥50% carotid stenosis (odds ratio 2.29, 95% CI 1.15-4.57). The findings quantify the stepwise risk of elevated Lp(a) across the atherosclerotic continuum, though the cohort is restricted to a single Asian population.

Original abstract

Aims: The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term association between lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and the longitudinal continuum of carotid atherosclerosis, from initial plaque formation to progression to carotid stenosis, in a prospective study of a general Japanese population.

Methods And Results: We studied 3272 participants in the Suita Study (mean age: 58.0 ± 11.5 years; 57.9% women) who were free of cardiovascular disease and carotid plaque at baseline (1995-2004). Follow-up carotid ultrasonography was performed biennially until June 2016. Incident carotid plaque was defined as a maximal intima-media thickness (IMT) ≥ 1.7 mm in the entire carotid artery. Progression from plaque to stenosis was defined as ≥50% stenosis in participants who developed plaques. We employed Cox proportional hazards models for incident plaques, linear mixed-effects models for annual IMT changes, and logistic regression for progression to stenosis. During a median follow-up of 11.5 years, 1432 participants developed carotid plaques. Compared with Lp(a) < 15 mg/dL, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for incident plaque was 1.27 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01-1.61] for Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dL. Participants with Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dL had significantly accelerated annual progression of maximal IMT (β = 0.014 mm/year; 95% CI, 0.003-0.025) compared with those with Lp(a) < 15 mg/dL. Furthermore, high Lp(a) levels were associated with progression to ≥50% carotid stenosis (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.15-4.57).

Conclusion: Elevated Lp(a) levels (≥ 50 mg/dL) were associated with the longitudinal continuum of carotid atherosclerosis, from plaque initiation to advanced stenosis. These findings suggest that high Lp(a) levels serve as a robust marker for long-term cardiovascular risk accumulation, highlighting the importance of screening and potential targeted interventions in individuals with Lp(a) ≥ 50 mg/dL.

Summary written by lp-a.org from the published abstract; figures as published. Page updated 11 October 2026. Methods.