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Lp(a) causally affects coronary disease and HbA1c but not diabetes risk, UK Biobank phenome-wide MR of 425,677 (JACC Adv 2026)

Original title: Lp(a) Has Specific Effects on Coronary Artery Disease Independent of LDL-C: A Mendelian Randomization Study

JACC Adv · · 8

Lee MP, Koenigsberg SH, Anwar MY, Raffield LM, Lin Z, Ballou AF, Booth JN, Davy-Mendez T, Kassahun H, Kent ST, López JAG, Monda KL et al.

Phenome-wide Mendelian randomisation study in UK Biobank (425,677 adults, 55% female), testing 1,456 phenotypes across 18 classes for direct causal effects of Lp(a), using network deconvolution MR to separate direct from mediated effects. Lp(a) was significantly associated with 80 phenotypes across 7 classes, but had significant direct causal effects, independent of LDL-C, only on coronary artery disease (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.21-1.54) and glycated haemoglobin (beta 0.099, 95% CI 0.051-0.15). Very low Lp(a) exposure was not causally associated with type 2 diabetes (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.64-1.31) or HbA1c (beta -0.016, 95% CI -0.062 to 0.030). Ancestry-specific thresholds of 86 nmol/L (European, 77th percentile) and 93 nmol/L (African, 59th percentile) optimally discriminated myocardial infarction risk, both comparable to and below current 125/105 nmol/L guideline thresholds. The authors conclude Lp(a) has narrowly specific, independent causal effects beyond cardiovascular disease alone.

Read the paper (DOI)PubMed

Original abstract

Background: Mendelian randomization studies suggest a causal effect of lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Noncardiovascular effects (eg, diabetes risk) are inadequately investigated.

Objectives: In this noninterventional phenome-wide association study designed to better understand the potential causal role of Lp(a), direct causal phenotypic effects of exposure to Lp(a) were estimated. Also, the association between LPA null allele rs41272114 with type 2 diabetes was assessed, and ancestry-specific Lp(a) thresholds were determined.

Methods: In the UK Biobank (n = 425,677 adults, 55% female), we studied 1,456 phenotypes spanning 18 classes using 4 ancestry-specific polygenic risk scores and false discovery rate multiple testing correction. Network deconvolution Mendelian randomization was leveraged to separate direct from indirect (ie, associations via mediating variables) causal phenotypic effects and account for confounding, reverse causation, and bidirectionality.

Results: Lp(a) was significantly associated with 80 phenotypes across 7 classes. Higher Lp(a) exposure had significant direct causal effects, independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, on coronary artery disease (OR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.21-1.54) and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c; β = 0.099; 95% CI: 0.051-0.15) only. Very low Lp(a) exposure was not associated with type 2 diabetes (OR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.64-1.31) or HbA1c (β = -0.016; 95% CI: -0.062 to 0.030). Among European and African ancestries, 86 (77th percentile) and 93 (59th percentile) nmol/L optimally discriminated myocardial infarction risk, respectively.

Conclusions: Increasing Lp(a) exposure had direct, independent causal effects on coronary artery disease and HbA1c only; very low Lp(a) exposure is suggested to not be causally associated with type 2 diabetes. The optimal European and African ancestry threshold to stratify cardiovascular risk is comparable, and below 125/105 nmol/L in current U.S./European medical professional society guidelines.

ancestrydiabetesgeneticsrisk prediction

Summary written by lp-a.org from the published abstract; figures as published. Page updated 17 August 2026. Methods.