Lp(a) causally raises atrial fibrillation risk largely independent of atherosclerosis, a Mendelian randomisation study of 435,579 UK Biobank participants (J Am Coll Cardiol 2022)

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a cardiac arrhythmia associated with an elevated risk of stroke, heart failure, and mortality. However, preventative therapies are needed with ancillary benefits on its cardiovascular comorbidities. Lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) is a recognized risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), which itself increases AF risk, but it remains unknown whether Lp(a) is a causal mediator of AF independent of ASCVD.

Objectives: This study investigated the role of Lp(a) in AF and whether it is independent of ASCVD.

Methods: Measured and genetically predicted Lp(a) levels were tested for association with 20,432 cases of incident AF in the UK Biobank (N = 435,579). Mendelian randomization analyses were performed by using summary-level data for AF from publicly available genome-wide association studies (N = 1,145,375).

Results: In the UK Biobank, each 50 nmol/L (23 mg/dL) increase in Lp(a) was associated with an increased risk of incident AF using measured Lp(a) (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.04 ; P = 1.65 × 10-8) and genetically predicted Lp(a) (OR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.05; P = 1.33 × 10-5). Mendelian randomization analyses using independent data replicated the effect (OR: 1.04 per 50 nmol/L Lp[a] increase; 95% CI: 1.03-1.05 per 50 nmol/L Lp[a] increase; P = 9.23 × 10-10). There was no evidence of risk-conferring effect from low-density lipoprotein cholesterol or triglycerides, and only 39% (95% CI: 27%-73%) of Lp(a) risk was mediated through ASCVD, suggesting that Lp(a) partly influences AF independent of its known effects on ASCVD.

Conclusions: Our findings implicate Lp(a) as a potential causal mediator in the development of AF which show that the effects of Lp(a) extend across myocardial tissues. Ongoing clinical trials for Lp(a)-lowering therapies should evaluate effects on AF prevention.