Lp(a) predicts cardiovascular events but not cognitive decline in the elderly, the PROSPER study of 5732 people (Atherosclerosis 2005)

Using analyses of the large cohort (n=5732) from the prospective study of pravastatin in the elderly at risk (PROSPER), we tested the hypothesis that Lp(a) concentration is an independent predictor of major vascular events and cognitive impairment in the elderly. Baseline Lp(a) levels were measured on fresh samples from 5732 subjects aged 70-82, who were followed for 3.2 years on average. Lp(a) levels were not significantly different across the age range in PROSPER, but were significantly higher in women (geometric mean 14.8 versus 12.4 mg/dl, P<0.0001). Those with a history of vascular disease had significantly higher Lp(a) levels, which remained after adjustment (P<0.0001). There was no statistically significant association between baseline Lp(a) and the risk of the primary endpoint (CHD death, non-fatal MI and fatal or non-fatal stroke) (hazard ratio 1.05, 95% CI 1.00-1.11, P=0.077), but after adjustment for baseline risk factors this did achieve statistical significance (1.06, 1.005-1.12, P=0.032). Finally, there was no statistically or clinically significant association between any adjusted baseline or dynamic cognition variables and Lp(a), and nor was there any significant association between Lp(a) and indices of disability throughout the study. This is the first study of the association between Lp(a) and a range of cardiovascular endpoints including cognitive and disability indices in the elderly. The main finding is that Lp(a) level, while influenced by a number of baseline characteristics, is not a significant predictor of cognitive function or levels of disability, but is a predictor of combined cardiovascular events over an average 3.2 year follow-up.